Forecasting Financial Resources for Future Traumatic Spinal Cord Injury Care Using Simulation Modeling

The study forecasts healthcare costs and long-term outcomes for traumatic spinal cord injury (tSCI) in Canada between 2012 and 2032, using simulation modeling. The model uses data from Canadian acute and rehabilitation facilities, along with population and tSCI incidence predictions. The projections indicate a rise in tSCI incidence among older adults, leading to increased healthcare costs.

• 1
  The projected median age of persons with tSCI in 2032 is 57, with those 61 and older accounting for 46% of injuries.
• 2
  Admissions to acute and rehabilitation facilities are expected to increase by 31% and 25%, respectively, by 2032.
• 3
  Care costs are projected to increase by 54%, and rest-of-life costs by 37%, resulting in an additional CAD $16.4 million in expenses.