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  4. Baseline-adjusted proportional odds models for the quantification of treatment effects in trials with ordinal sum score outcomes

Baseline-adjusted proportional odds models for the quantification of treatment effects in trials with ordinal sum score outcomes

BMC Medical Research Methodology, 2020 · DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12874-020-00984-2 · Published: May 7, 2020

Spinal Cord InjuryBioinformaticsResearch Methodology & Design

Simple Explanation

Researchers often use sum scores of ordinal outcomes in clinical trials. Common methods lack power or the ability to incorporate baseline information. This paper introduces baseline-adjusted proportional odds logistic regression models to address these limitations. The method's validation focuses on ordinal sum score outcomes from neurological clinical trials, such as the upper extremity motor score (UEMS) and the spinal cord independence measure (SCIM). The study compares the statistical power of the novel models to conventional approaches. The simulation study demonstrated that the statistical power of the new method was greater than that of conventional methods. The proposed models allow for direct interpretation of the global treatment effect and have superior statistical power.

Study Duration
Not specified
Participants
350 female and male patients from EMSCI
Evidence Level
Level 2: Simulation study and reanalysis of a clinical trial

Key Findings

  • 1
    The simulation study demonstrated that the statistical power of the novel method was greater than that of conventional methods.
  • 2
    Baseline adjustments were more suited for the analysis of the upper extremity motor score compared to the spinal cord independence measure and its self-care subscore.
  • 3
    The newly introduced permutated ePolr test outperformed conventional analysis methods in every simulation setup.

Research Summary

The paper introduces baseline-adjusted proportional odds models for analyzing ordinal outcomes in clinical trials, addressing limitations of conventional methods. A simulation study demonstrated the superior statistical power of the new method compared to conventional approaches, particularly for the upper extremity motor score. The proposed models offer a clear interpretation of the global treatment effect and are supported by open-source software, making them suitable for future clinical trials.

Practical Implications

Improved Statistical Power

The proposed method can increase the ability to detect significant treatment effects in clinical trials with ordinal outcomes.

Direct Interpretation

The baseline-adjusted proportional odds models allow for a clear and direct interpretation of the global treatment effect.

Open-Source Availability

The open-source software support facilitates the adoption and implementation of this novel method in future research.

Study Limitations

  • 1
    The asymptotic ePolr test might be relatively liberal.
  • 2
    Results from Sygen trial reanalysis cannot be generalized due to the selected subsample of patients
  • 3
    The models may be more effective for UEMS than for SCIM scores due to other influencing factors.

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